Historian Allan Lichtman, called the Nostradamus of the US election for his accurate prediction, said Wednesday morning he is in the process of assessing last night’s results — which proved him wrong for the first time in 40 years. Lichtman predicted Kamala Harris’s win based on his 13 keys and maintained his prediction throughout — while Donald Trump is set to return to the White House with a landslide.
“I want to thank all the loyal members, subscribers, and viewers of our live show. We will go on and are assessing last night’s results. Please tune in on Thursday at 9 PM Eastern for a discussion of what happened and what the future holds for America. @allanlichtmanyoutube,” the historian posted.
All polls that predicted a close fight were proved wrong as Donald Trump won at least four of the seven battleground states and is leading in the rest. He has also crossed the majority mark of 270 and already won 277 electoral votes.
Poll guru Silver Nate predicted a Donald Trump win but his last prediction said it would be closer than a coin toss. But his earlier prediction that the result won’t be as close as the predictions were turned out to be true.
Nate’s Silver Bulletin rehashed its October 20 piece ’24 reasons that Trump could win’ into ’24 reasons that Trump won’ and said they pre-wrote Trump’s victory. “I managed to stay off Twitter all night. We sort of pre-wrote our “Trump wins” piece on Oct. 20, so linking to it here, I think one thesis we really got right this cycle is this was a difficult environment for Harris and other Democrats. More tomorrow,” Silver Nate wrote.
Shocking Iowa pollster Ann Selzer reacts to her wrong polls
Just ahead of the election, Ann Selzer came up with a poll that projected Harris as the winner in Iowa which is a conservation state. The poll rattled the GOP but Trump called it a fake poll. Ann Selzer said she will be reviewing data from multiple sources with hopes of learning why the wrong polling happened. “And I welcome what that process might teach me,” Ann Selzer said.